December 26, 2024

Sino-US chip war map

Huang Yuliang | Moment | Getty Images

Despite Washington’s efforts to limit chip sales to China and Beijing’s push for self-sufficiency in the semiconductor industry, China remains an important market for most U.S. chipmakers.

Data from S&P Global Shows that U.S. chip giant Intel, Broadcom, Qualcomm and Mayville Technology All of these countries receive more revenue from China than the United States

The United States has passed a series of export controls starting in October 2022, aiming to restrict China’s access to advanced chip technology, especially technology used in artificial intelligence applications.

Chris Miller, author of “Chip Wars,” said: “China remains an important market for U.S. chip manufacturers, and U.S. restrictions on the sale of advanced artificial intelligence chips to China are specifically designed to allow most U.S. companies to continue to sell Chinese customers Designed to sell most types of wafers,” told CNBC.

Semiconductors are used in products ranging from smartphones to electric vehicles and have become a top priority for governments around the world.

China consumes nearly 50% of the world’s semiconductors as it is the largest market for consumer device assembly, according to technology consultancy Omdia.

Because U.S. export restrictions target very specific products, U.S. chipmakers, which enjoy a technological lead over Chinese rivals, are able to take advantage of the demand.

“There are still a lot of ‘high-end’ chips with various types of permitted use cases that are ideally suited to areas where U.S. chip companies dominate and lead,” said William B. Bailey, chief technology, media and telecommunications analyst. Starkey IR Intelligence.

Dealing with export restrictions

Analysts say U.S. strategy to limit China's rise as a technological power is working

AMD also designed an artificial intelligence chip for China, but it failed to pass muster with U.S. regulators last month and needed to apply for an export license.

Senior executives at Intel, Qualcomm and Nvidia It is said Last July, the group planned to lobby Washington against tighter chip restrictions.

The companies are also members of the Semiconductor Industry Association, the main U.S. semiconductor trade group. issue a statement Around the same time, calls were made to ease tensions and halt further sanctions due to the importance of the Chinese market to domestic chip companies.

While the United States has taken a tough policy stance, China has responded in kind. In May last year, chips produced by the US company Micron were banned from being used in China’s critical information infrastructure because they failed to pass the review of the Cyberspace Administration of China.

A Micron Technology spokesperson told CNBC that Micron Technology is building a new assembly and test manufacturing facility at its existing base in Xi’an, China, because China “remains an important market for Micron Technology and the semiconductor industry.” Production is expected to begin in the second half of 2025, they said.

Market share concerns

Insights & Strategy CEO says China could catch up with U.S. in semiconductors

Miller said the Chinese government is “increasingly focused” on getting its companies to buy locally made chips. “Unless foreign companies have significant technological advantages over domestic Chinese competitors, they will lose market share in China.”

However, Felix Lee, an equity analyst at Morningstar, said that while Chinese companies may be innovating traditional chips in everything from home appliances to medical equipment, the company does not expect to “overhaul the supply chain.”

Traditional wafers are typically mature or low-end semiconductors.U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said About 60% of the chips are made in China.

Brady Wang, deputy director of Counterpoint Research, said that in the AI ​​GPU segment, U.S. companies such as Nvidia and Intel are expected to be about three to five years ahead of their Chinese competitors in terms of technology.

“We believe China can still establish its own local GPU supply chain for specific market segments, but the quantity will be limited and the cost will be higher,” he added.

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