December 27, 2024

Traders work on the trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on May 17, 2024 in New York City, the United States.

Brendan McDermid | Reuters

This report comes from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open keeps investors updated on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.

What you need to know today

Rally to take a breather
U.S. stocks fell on Monday, weighed down by equities Semiconductor stocks fell, with semiconductor stocks down 8.1% UnitedHealth. Pan-European Stoke 600 The index fell 0.8% due to mixed performance among sectors. Technology stocks fell 6.36%, while telecommunications stocks rose 1.97%. In addition, according to statistics, the euro zone’s industrial production grew by 1.8% from July to August. Eurostat.

Bank beats expectations
Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citigroup Third-quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations. Goldman Sachs performed best: its profits increased by 45% compared with the same period last year. Compared with the same period last year, Bank of America’s net profit fell 12% and Citigroup’s net profit fell 8.6%.

ASML plunges
Shares of semiconductor equipment maker ASML plunged 16% on a downbeat earnings report. The Netherlands-based company believes 2025 net sales will be below the lower half of its previous forecast. ASML Although net sales exceeded expectations, net bookings for the September quarter fell short of expectations by €3 billion.

Israel may not attack oil facilities
Prices for both countries after Israel reportedly told the US it does not plan to attack Iran’s oil facilities West Texas Intermediate Oil and Brent Futures fell more than 4%. Earlier this week, OPEC lowered its forecast for daily oil demand growth in 2024 from 2 million barrels per day to 1.9 million barrels per day. This is the third consecutive forecast cut this year.

(PRO) S&P 500 at 6,400?
The stock market seems unstoppable. Two years after entering the bull market, S&P 500 Index Continuously hitting new closing highs. History shows that bull markets tend to stall in their third year, or at least trip over themselves. However, UBS believes that the S&P index can buck the trend and surge to 6,400 points in 2025, which means a rise of 10% Starting from Tuesday’s close.

bottom line

Despite the market’s decline on Tuesday, there’s still a lot to like about the current situation.

crushed ASML’s 16% of diving and Bloomberg reports On potential export controls on AI chips, semiconductor stocks: NVIDIA and AMD fell 4.7% and 5.2% respectively. This gives VanEck Semiconductor ETF This is the worst day since September 3rd. Nasdaq Index down 1.01%.

this Dow Jones Industrial AverageIt closed above 43,000 points for the first time yesterday and fell 0.75% today, falling below the 42,000 point mark again. UnitedHealth An 8.1% drop dragged the Dow down.

at last, S&P 500 Index down 0.76%.

Still, investors are the most optimistic in four years, according to Bank of America’s October global fund manager survey. They’re also optimistic about the economy: 74% of investors believe the U.S. will avoid a recession.

Michael Hartnett, investment strategist at Bank of America, said expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and expectations that Beijing will launch more stimulus measures to boost the economy are boosting investor sentiment.

Indeed, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who served on the FOMC this year, noted that the central bank is “still a long way from where[interest rates]might stabilize.” That means “the real decision before us is how quickly to adjust to that level,” rather than whether to keep rates high given the strength of recent economic data.

Another positive sign for the market was that the S&P and Dow hit all-time highs on Monday, but the Nasdaq is still a few percentage points away from its peak. “This subtle divergence is technical evidence that the market has moved away from the Big Seven,” wrote Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Sandler.

–CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Lisa Kailai Han and Alex Harring contributed to this article.

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