Google CEO Sundar Pichai said that by 2025, generative artificial intelligence may not change your life, at least not now.
When OpenAI launched ChatGPT two years ago, generative AI quickly captured the imagination of users around the world. Now, as the industrial competition pattern has been established, many large technology companies, including Google, have emerged in competition mode. It will take time to achieve technological breakthroughs again and allow the artificial intelligence industry to enter ultra-high-speed development again. Pichai says Last week at the New York Times’ DealBook Summit.
“I think progress is going to be more difficult. As I look ahead to 2025, the low-hanging fruit is gone,” Pichai said, adding: “The hill gets steeper… You A deeper breakthrough is definitely needed as we move into the next phase.
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Pichai said that current language models – such as ChatGPT, Google’s Gemini or Meta’s Llama – will continue to get better, especially “at reasoning, completing a sequence of actions more reliably.” These improvements could help push artificial intelligence closer to generating profits for enterprise users — something that hasn’t happened yet, despite investment in the technology expected to exceed $1 trillion “in the next few years.” A recent report from Goldman Sachs.
But Pichai said another big shift that changes the way most people think about or envision artificial intelligence is unlikely to happen next year.
Some tech CEOs, such as Microsoft’s Satya Nadella, agree with Pichai. Nadella said at the Fast Company Innovation Festival in October 2024: “We’re 70 years into the industrial revolution, and the industry doesn’t grow much, and then it takes off… It’s never going to be linear.”
Others disagree, at least publicly. For example, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman posted “No Walls” on social media platform X in November, in response to reports that the recently released ChatGPT-4 was only slightly better than previous models.
Pichai said advances in artificial intelligence are not completely closed off: even incremental developments will help hone the technology and make it increasingly useful to a wider range of people. Some industry jobs that don’t require a college degree also pay well: On average, Artificial Intelligence Trainer Annual income exceeds $64,000, and Tip Engineer According to ZipRecruiter, he earns more than $110,000.
“I think in 10 years, (computer programming) will be accepted by more people,” Pichai said.
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